Are you worried about the Coronavirus?

Are you worried about the Corona Virus

  • Yes

    Votes: 13 54.2%
  • No

    Votes: 8 33.3%
  • Undecided

    Votes: 3 12.5%

  • Total voters
    24
LarrylLix said:
Canada's new cases curve started to flatten about March 13. Sent using Tapatalk
That’s not what I am seeing, 56 new cases on March 13th and 214 on March 20th for Canada. 
 
Just a follow up to my earlier post....(IE: just found this)
 
The French study of 60 COVID survivors tested with chloroquine and azithromyacin show, at the very least, extremely promising potential (100% cute rate in 6 days) that must be investigated further. The fact that Faucci may not have know about or trusted the study does not make it irrelevant.
 
How wildlife trade is linked to coronavirus
 
[youtube]http://youtu.be/TPpoJGYlW54[/youtube]
 
Gravitas: How China destroyed evidence of the outbreak | Wuhan Coronavirus
 
[youtube]http://youtu.be/kN08StvCWgU[/youtube]
 
LarrylLix said:
UPDATE Sorry. I didn't post any link and I couldn't correct properly on Tap-a-Talk.
 
See the Figure 2 chart
https://www.canada.c...d-19-cases.html
 
You can't go by absolute numbers but ratios to show the change in escalation. 
 
The chart you linked to shows the last few days as incomplete data.
 
Several other sources show much higher, and still increasing numbers for the last few days.
 
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/canada/
 
Not sure which one is correct.  Has Canada issued "shelter in place orders," similar to several US states?  If not, it's difficult to believe things would be trending downward.
 
 
as a senior disease
 
Mostly because the immune system starts to decline with age.
 
Younger healthy folks testing positive for the virus should do well other that some symtoms documented.
 
RAL said:
The chart you linked to shows the last few days as incomplete data.
 
Several other sources show much higher, and still increasing numbers for the last few days.
 
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/canada/
 
Not sure which one is correct.  Has Canada issued "shelter in place orders," similar to several US states?  If not, it's difficult to believe things would be trending downward.
 
These charts indicate different statistics and can be both correct. The Canada gov chart uses "date of symptom onset", not confirmed date.
The CTVnews website has other figures also. If they don't get their figures from the gov site I don't know where they would get them. However CTVnews seems to be at least 12 hours ahead of the gov site that claims twice per day updates. A few more days should tell better.
 
RAL said:
The chart you linked to shows the last few days as incomplete data.
 
Several other sources show much higher, and still increasing numbers for the last few days.
 
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/canada/
 
Not sure which one is correct.  Has Canada issued "shelter in place orders," similar to several US states?  If not, it's difficult to believe things would be trending downward.
 
The Canadian public health site is reporting based on the date of symptom onset--not the date the diagnosis was "confirmed".  So if you have been sick for 10 days and get a test that confirms it is Covid-19, your case is added to the number from 10 days previous.  Since there is always a lag between initial symptoms and getting a test completed, the graph in Figure 3 shows a shaded area that indicates that we don't yet know how many cases will be reported for those dates:
 
https://www.canada.ca/en/public-health/services/diseases/2019-novel-coronavirus-infection/health-professionals/epidemiological-summary-covid-19-cases.html#a2
 
Social distancing and self-isolation, among other measures, has been pushed very strongly in Canada through March.  It may be that we're seeing reduced spread but I'd say it is too early to really tell.  It seems that the disease runs its course in less than 3 weeks for virtually anybody infected.  If we could achieve zero transmissions for just 3 weeks, it could be eradicated.  Unfortunately, zero is a practical impossibility (witness spring break idiots) so we're going to have to be vigilant for a long time.
 
Craig
 
LarrylLix said:
The bar graph I posted and linked to...
 
UPDATE Sorry. I didn't post any link and I couldn't correct properly on Tap-a-Talk.
 
See the Figure 2 chart
https://www.canada.ca/en/public-health/services/diseases/2019-novel-coronavirus-infection/health-professionals/epidemiological-summary-covid-19-cases.html
 
You can't go by absolute numbers but ratios to show the change in escalation. 
Well I guess we will see overtime how this plays out, hopefully the measures being taken are slowing the spread.
 
BTW, I think Canada's experience with SARS may be helping to get the population to take Covid-19 more seriously.  An anecdote, but my mother suffered from COPD for 10 years before her death 2 years ago.  She lived in a senior's residence for the last 3 years of her life.  This was in a tiny facility in a rural area so you wouldn't expect vigilance...but they were.  There was _always_ hand sanitizer at the door and signs saying Do Not Enter if you have a cough, fever, or other symptoms.  Visitors were strongly encouraged to get the annual flu shot, etc.  The public health nurse visited regularly and briefed staff on any new concerns.  
 
My understanding is that SARS was a real wake-up call and these regular protective measures became engrained after that.
 
Craig
 
The other thing that should be noted is many countries entered their "curve" much earlier and more knowledge of outcome and techniques were known from China's knowledge. Some finger pointing has already started.
 
In North America, we were lucky to enter our curves later on the calendar, and respond sooner "on our curve" due to other country's experience and advice. Absolute dates were not meaningful in this "War"
 
Canada responded with measures later than the US by calendar dates, but sooner on their curve. 2020 hindsight will bring out many inside out crystal ball gazers for sure.
 
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