hi DaveRye, welcome to CocoonTech!
These new technologies haven't yet been around long enough to even know what problems they have. They won't be better than X10, they'll just be different. What none of the writers seem to know is that X10 has been around for 27 years. I.E., shipping products for 27 years! X10 founded the Home Automation Industry, shipping its first products to RadioShack in 1978.
27 years, and the basic issues which existed from the beginning are still there (speed, noise issues, etc.). Granted, if they would make big changes which would address these issues, it probably wouldn't be called X10 anymore. No one denies that X10 brought home automation down to an affordable level, but that doesn't mean that there isn't any room for 1 or more successors. It's called 'progress', and it happens everywhere. I am pretty sure you didn't use a C64 with a 1200bps modem to make that post, but yet, both the C64 and those 'slow' modems changed the world.
The consumer doesn't care how "fast" a signal gets to a module, the consumer doesn't care what protocol is used, and X10 has proof (by its lack of sales of its two-way products compared to its huge installed base of its one-way products) that the consumer doesn't care about two-way. The American consumer only cares about three things: price, price, and price
Unfortunately, that statement is rather inaccurate. We have over 700 consumers alone on this forum thinking that quality and speed ARE important. I guess you never had a person visit your house, and wonder why it can take up to 2-3 seconds for a light to turn on using your X10 motion sensor. If the consumer wasn't interested in anything but price, then there would be no such thing as high end Smarthome, Lightolier and Leviton switches. People who are serious about home automation do not install the cheap 1-way X10 switches. If you don't believe me, search the newsgroups, forums, and talk to some of the biggest HA hardware dealers around.
These emerging technologies come and go. Does anyone remember CEBus? It was the first one that was going to "kill X10." 27 years on, X10 is still alive and kicking!
The beauty of these 'emerging technologies' is that they can coexist with X10. Back in the days of CEbus, the number of people interested in home automation was much lower. Now they have dedicated TV shows about home automation, tons of software, and major companies such as Microsoft are spending tons of money on home automation as well. TWICE just did a survey, showing that 7.2% of internet connected homes already have home automation hardware, and more than half of online households are interested in getting involved as well.
Of course, this is all "IMO", and based on my own experience/feedback :angry: